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the economy will drive housing. >> what are you expecting elsewhere in terms of the regulatory environment? we're all wondering how this plays out, how the vogel rule plays out? what if it materializes and forces a separation from proprietary trading and plain vanilla deposit? >> that's not the volcker rule. >> nobody is doing proprietary trading. i always remind the public we had the widest, most transparent capital in the world. i'm not opposed to the intent of the volcker rule. the question is let's make sure when we finish we have the wi widest, deepest in the world. we serve 20,000 customers. give them great price, capital, advice, execution when they come to us because we give them a good price, just like walmart gives you a good price. we do a lot of it. that's a good thing. it keeps the cost of issuance and the cost of buying cheap. who does it keep cheap for? retirees, pensions, municipalities, korpgs. >> in terms of the federal reserve, how do you offset this difficulty in terms of making money in such a low rate environment? >> one of the funny things here, i keep hear that the bank
. so does it make sense that we'll get a double-digit rally in this environment? >> you know based on the work that we're doing right now, no. but saying that, i think stocks can do well in a modest growth, modest inflation environment. we've been in that type of an environment. i think per's going to be in it at least through 2013. so stocks can do okay. especially stocks i think that have a lot of international exposure which the s&p 500 about 50% of those revenues come from overseas. so that's where the growth is we're going to continue to see the growth there. so i think the stock market can do okay so to expect a 20% year in this slow-growth environment i don't think it's going to happen right now. >> i would like to ask you a little bit about a gloomy assessment that came out from bill gross the bond guru from pimco. his february letter, he is saying he's to the buying into the bull market telling investors that stocks pose too much of a risk for too little return. he says buy something you can sink your teeth in commodities like gold. he also recommends to go out the u.s. an
economy. so does it make sense that we'll get a double-digit rally in this environment? >> you know, based on the work that we're doing right now, no. but saying that, i think stocks can do well in a modest growth, modest inflation environment. we've been in that type of an environment. i think per's going to be in it at least through 2013. so stocks can do okay. especially stocks i think that have a lot of international exposure which the s&p 500, about 50% of those revenues come from overseas. so that's where the growth is we're going to continue to see the growth there. so i think the stock market can do okay, so to expect a 20% year in this slow-growth environment i don't think it's going to happen right now. >> i would like to ask you a little bit about a gloomy assessment that came out from bill gross, the bond guru from pimco. his february letter, he is saying he's to the buying into the bull market, telling investors that stocks pose too much of a risk for too little return. ys b something you can sink your teeth in, commodities like gold. he also recommends to go out the u.s. and
kangaroos. ♪ chevron has been developing energy here for decades. we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them.'s my job to look after it. ♪ >>> welcome back to this "kudlow report." we're all used to financial titans squaring off but it's usually in a board room, not a cable television. a long standing grudge between bill ackman and icahn turned into a slug fest. and bobby jindal said the republican party needs to grow up and start being the stupid party. >> the fbi reports they are investigating senator bob menendez on accusations he purchased prostitutes and attended sex parties in the dominican republic. he has rejected this party for months and much of this story frankly is still unconfirmed. joining to us explain the allegations and the newly surfaced evidence, executive editor at "the daily caller." what is the new evidence that has emerged? >> about 36 hours ago we received a cache of documents, about 58 pages of e-mai
and why they're locked in and can't do well in a market environment like this. >> this has become the apple story a show me story. it used to be a benefit of the doubt story. it's completely changed. >> the problem, too, i think you have to look at what management's response has been to not only deterioration, stock, products, questions around it. i think tim cook has not done a good job addressing that. i will tell you this. to everyone's point, i actually think you will see money rotate back into apple if the overall market does see a little bit of correction almost as a defensive technology. >> shares of yahoo! up 30% since ceo marissa mayer took the rains. what do shareholders want to hear? good to have you here. give me your thoughts on apple and the problem. >> they're reacting now, before they were innovating and reacting to what other companies were doing an unusual position and remains a large holder in our fund. the stock is cheaply valued. this is teresting. they lost jobs and questioning whether the innovation gene within apple may be lost for good. cheap iphone, bigge
environment sn environment. >> you know, jackie just mentioned coach. you will bring us through some winners and sinners too. >> everyone is in on this trade. the last five years haven't been the best on the 50e cannot my but a little retail therapy helped investors along the way. since 2007, three of the top ten of the s&p 500 are consumer discretionary companies. also, making up nearly half of the 42 component that have doubled in that time period with those bar bell retail traids providing investors with the highest returns. discounters including ross stores, tjx, dollar tree and family dollar, all gaining a hundred percent or more since the october 2007 peak, but so too have ralph lauren and fossil on the high ends. on the dow, home depot come in as the top performer. wal-mart number four. so home depot and wal-mart are two that are up double digits. consumer discretionary groups, both leading the broader s&p 500. but the bulk of retail earners are yet to hit the tape. that could change everything. especially after a sneak peek. sweel if this trade gets to rally or not. >> nice winners a
. ♪ chevron has been developing energy here for decades. we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them.'s my job to look after it. ♪ >>> with temperatures in washington hovering in the 20s, what may be the last surviving housefly of the winter season was hovering in the white house today, and had an encounter with the president during a press event. >> that's why today i am nominating mary jo white to lead the security and exchange commission, and richard cordray to continue leading the consumer financial protection bureau. this guy is bothering me here. >> the incident left us with this unfortunate still photo of the president. and while we presume secret service wrestled the offender to the ground, the president has a history with flies, famously dispatching one during an interview with our own john harwood. >>> the roar that could be heard for miles today around huntsville, alabama was the test-firing of a vintage rocket
their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them.'s my job to look after it. ♪ ♪ how the problem among san francisco restaurants is even worse than we thought. it's an update >>> new at 6:00 tonight, collecting cash from customers and keeping it from employees. it's an update to a story cbs 5 first reported. >>> and then what would you do if nature determined your profits? how tahoe resorts are going high-tech so revenue doesn't freeze when there's no snow. those stories and much more coming up at 6:00. captions by: caption colorado >> pelley: tonight, the stock market's amazing recovery. five years after the meltdown, the s&p 500 is back near its peak. anthony mason on what's driving stocks higher. team of rivals: the president sits down with "60 minutes" and insists his secretary of state and one-time opponent be with him. >> why did you want to do this together? >> pelley: steve kroft has the interview. a
to go. regional banks are we to make money in a tough environment. quarterly profits rose to the highest level in 10 years. bob jones talking about those drivers. don't miss it, our exclusive interview next. (announcer) scottrade knows our clients trade and invest their own way. with scottrade's smart text, i can quickly understand my charts, and spend more time trading. their quick trade bar lets my account follow me online so i can react in real-time. plus, my local scottrade office is there to help. because they know i don't trade like everybody. i trade like me. i'm with scottrade. (announcer) scottrade. voted "best investment services company." have given way to sleeping. tossing and turning where sleepless nights yield to restful sleep. and lunesta®(eszopiclone) can help you get there. like it has for so many people before. when taking lunesta, don't drive or operate machinery until you feel fully awake. walking, eating, driving, or engaging in other activities while asleep, without remembering it the next day, have been reported. lunesta should not be taken together with alcohol.
. in that environment where credit is not expanding where you had cash flow impairments you've had a one quarter delayed significant reaction. >> i'll give you a maybe on that. i'll give you a maybe on that. here's what i want to talk about also. brian kelly, transports, transports, 1.7% up today. 10% up year-to-date. i'm very old-fashioned. i like the dow theory. if the dow is rising and the transports rising. what does that mean? to me that's bullish for the economy. >> if you look at some of the trucking names. normally take out the airlines. the airlines have done quite well if they reduced capacity although if you look at some of the reports i think it was u.s. air, but i believe they said that some of their seats were down a bit even though they cut capacity. that was a little bit of a warning sign. even on trucking side it was okay. but now as a trader and investing in the market you have to hook six months ahead. what will happen coming down. we know everything is done well. we know they are up 7%. what's the next move. that's where you get concern. >> we look at the leading indicators. pmi from
environme environment, sue, we are talking about slow growth in the economy, slow growth in earnings. in this kind of environment, you have to be tough on price, really tough on your entry point. and as i see it, we are a little bit overvalued and there is widespread optimism. you heard it in prior hour, a lot of optimism. i think quite frankly, what we need now and i hope for, cross my fingers, is about a 10% correction so we get to a level where stocks once again rep represent good value. i have a problem on value now. >> do you have value, jim, do you agree or not? >> i don't agree. i don't agree. i think what is most likely going to happen in the market, and i know a market up 12% in two month says very difficult to do. i think the most likely scenario as this market keeps grinding higher, keeps grinding higher, tempting people on the sideline. i think the biggest theme here is sideline money that could be put to work by people who feel that they are missing the prty. we grind higher with a couple occasional skips higher. am i nervous? absolutely i am. the vix, as you've seen, ra
we expect the industry to decline in 2013 versus 2012. so the environment there continues to be very, very tough. we do think perhaps it's a trough in 2012 or 2013 but you know we'll have to wait and see. >> let's talk about north america quickly. your profit margins are the story here. for the year over 10.4%. but i'm looking at note after note from analysts on wall street today who are saying we don't see growth coming in 2013 on the profitgins which has people saying why can't you continue growing the profit margins? >> well, first of all, a profit margin of about 10% which is what we're guiding to in 2013 is a phenomenal profit margin, very, very strong. so we expect to continue the type of performance we saw in north america on a margin basis into 2013 and actually expect higher profit but that will be offset and affect the volume or affect the margin from the point of view of higher, noncash structural cost. so higher profits, about the same margin. but it actually is not going to be affecting cash which we've also guided to be higher in 2013. we expect 2013 is going to be a ve
haven't reached out and grabbed this completely benign environment, you've really underperformed. if you look at the housing prices, the schiller index out here, we're at six-year highs, november to november. you have a place, as guy said, rates are telling you what's going on. you know what they called the two year note? >> the bunde-schad. this is telling you that even germany, which was the ultimate fight to quality, they were negative ten basis points. >> yeah, it is the regret rally, for anybody who missed last year, you got to chase it up at these levels. i can find 20 different reasons why the market should go down but it just doesn't. it keeps going up. a lot of it does appear to be cash coming into the market. the market isn't necessarily reacting to good or bad news. it is just mechanical. scares me a little bit. >> to brian's point. it is institutional asset allocation. one of the things that came out of davos was an analysis of where earnings are and the earnings yield for the overall market, relative to german bonds, u.s. treasuries, et cetera. 7% are in the market, 2% yield
on why em has lagged. em is down small on the year and yet i think the environment is on some level hasn't been this good for a few years. we had fantastic fund floeps into the end of the year, maybe that was a technical sell signal. what's the call in the short run? it's been a disappointi ining january. >> yeah, look, i still think there's good values out there in emerging markets. i agree. we're going to see growth improving, not by a lot, but mid-8% gdp growth in china this year and china growth tends to be even stronger in the first half of the year. there's some seasonal effects there. brazil still got a hole to climb out of in terms of growth. but it does look like the brazilian is strengthening. there is cap tam going back into that country. mexico, to me, continues to look incredibly strong. there's some pockets of strength around the emerging market lgs and if europe can stay stable, emerging europe might be interesting this year. >> yeah, totally agree. >> rebecca, great to see you. >> thank you. >> rebecca patterson. we do want to get a check on an afterhours mover. have youc
, more nationalism and an economic environment that people are not totally pessimistic, but i think they expect to see more going forward. >> an thonenny jenkins from barclay's. good to see you. thanks for joining us. pick up with barclay's. what are the expectations of what they're going to do with that transformation and job cuts? but he clearly made the point. he said when we had strong revenue growth, the banking system as a whole didn't have to worry about cost. now we've got the right costs for the new environment we're in. and is this a cross to the board picture? >> definitely. banking ultimately is such for the underlying economy. so i think it doesn't take an economy to tell us that the next couple of years is going to be choppy and not the growth we've had for the last 20 years. banking has to go back to basics. fist, think about your revenue and cost base. here on the cost base, huge improvements. they've always been unmanaged because the revenue is growing so, you know, clearly matched to pay people twice as much as we have to. today, people working from i.t. to legal t
, the impact is stronger because they're less affected by the direct environment. >> are we enter ago harder market? which is to say can insurance companies start to raise premiums across the board? >> it varies a lot by line of bit in my country, but certainly post super storm sandy there will be hardening of rates. in the uk, though, with the rates going down, even though motor has been not that profitable -- >> why is that. >> because the competition is a pretty competitive environment. >> and we had changes in the motor race, though. we've had a big eu change on the agenda. >> yeah. >> we don't know how that's going to come out in the wash, do we? >> that changes things around. but in the short-term, it does mean that the markets are a little more volatile and it has been a sizable change. >> it's just unfortunate to some degree that these natural disasters which affect many people and are stressful events to live through then cause insurance premium toes rise, which sounds like that's what's happening in part of the u.s. >> it varies, but long-term insurers will look to make profit over
slowly. revenue is still growing rather slowly but still a pretty good environment. >> all right. here we go. the first of the earnings out from microsoft. we were expecting 75 cents. came in at 76 september, beating by a penny. the revenue was expected to be 21.53 billion. we got 21.46, so a little light on that. let's bring in our guests. max wolf from green press capital and david pearl next tomakers executive vice president and co-chief investment officer and jon fortt, anything to add on what we're seeing so far in the early statements of the microsoft report with stock up half a percent? >> yes, i've got a breakdown. >> 32.5, $1 billion on revenue is what we're getting on at&t right now and 44 cents for the eps is what we're getting for at&t as opposed to the expectation of 45, so it looks as though revenue was a little bit higher than exed, but looks as if the eps was one sent shorter than expected. we'll get back to microsoft right now and talk more about at&t earnings in just a second. >> don't you love it when they all come out at the same time. >> why can't you corporate guys c
in that environment? okay. retail sales weren't that bad. but they nose dived right at the end of the quarter. retailers were afraid to restock inventory figuring that spending would drop off the cliff right along with the nation's finances. it was all in all a very bad time for our nation. now, overlay the storm of the century for the northeast. one that shut down the wealthiest area of the country for several weeks and caused what ultimately may be $100 billion in damage. you had the physical shutdown from the storm neatly and miserably dovetailing with the mental shutdown caused by washington. the result, the abysmal and artificially reduced gross domestic product number we saw today. most money managers are fixated on that top-down analysis. they look at those numbers, they care, they correctly detected the secession the business in this country was undergoing. they pulled in their horns because of it. some cases, dramatically. i understood it. say we came in to 2013 over the fiscal cliff. i would say the vast majority of money managers out there believed we could be down 5%, 6%, 10% on t
outside of the normal in the office business environment. i met barry who runs real estate business. he joined my board. i bought his company call from davos. liz: there are deals at least the seeds are sown here? >> that's right. it creates personal relationships you know that create the relationships outside to make it work. liz: real estate business genesis of it was here has been huge for you guys. >> we started with frank. bought grub and el lis and brought the two together. very interest rates are great for commercial real estate. you can finance it cheaply. low interest rates is ails good for somebody. not good in the finance business but in the real estate business. liz: not good good for savers but good for that is right part of your business which brought in a lot of revenues. what is the most interesting conversation you've been a part of this time around? >> i met the t-shock i only word is the prime minister of ireland. what i thought was really interesting, he was very focused on business. he came here and his whole group is here to say we're open for business. we're focus
's your take on the regulatory environment. it seems the financial services over the last couple of decades has been riding a wave of positives. deregulation, globalization. going forward economies are looking inward and regulation is only getting tougher. >> a lot of those customers you're talking about are our biggest customers, a lot of those financial institutions. as long as they are going to be facing a head wind like that, you see a cut on volume, too. they have fewer strategies they're carrying out because of all the capital charges. what i heard yesterday that i think is the biggest issue is not the breadth of the regulation, that's to be expected after a crisis, the problem is the lack of consistency across different jurisdictions. we all run international companies now. if you start to have the different regimes in different markets, it's almost impossible to run a business that way. i think that's what we have to struggle through still. that's going to be a head wind for a while, i'm afraid. >> you've got a lot of regulators in europe, in the u.s., and they're all wan
still being a drog for your business? >> you know, it certainly doesn't help that the environment here has been very difficult. there's a huge swing in sentiment over the last three or four months. the sentiment is ahead of reality at this point. but in terms of the pick up of our business, it's been meaningful and the first three or four weeks of this year have started very, very strong. >> mario draghi was there talking about banking supervision, largest banks will be supervised from frankfurt in the ecb. how does that all impact your european union? >> well, the direct impact, of course, is limited in as much as our principal regulators and supervisors are in the u.s. of course, we do operate in all of these markets and, therefore, our local units do have supplies by local rules. that goes without saying. i think the key issue is that regulatory certainty and stability and a revival testament in europe benefits the sector, benefits the markets and certainly, therefore, will benefit us indirectly. but i would say the direct impact on what we do day-to-day is somewhat limited, of cour
are this low. perhaps he needs yields to be higher to say he was forced to do it. in this environment it's not going to happen. >> to bring you back, is there any sense at all that the full in borrowing cost for the spanish government is going to feed through into the wider economy? i spoke on friday to the economic affairs minister. he told me this is what's going to happen -- now that borrowing costs are down it will feed through to the real economy. do you think that's going to happen or not? >> i hope yes because really we need some new measures. and we need some help to keep on growing again, as i was saying before. really, the -- what's going to say prime minister to all the investors. we have problems in the banking system with banking as you tell before. we have problem with the bank, and we need to -- a solution, to solve. with the meeting this morning with the president of the euro group, mr. junker, not tell any news about how will be the new measure. we are waiting and waiting and hoping that the new measures could be really strong, could be really positive. almost -- almost
interest-rate environment created by the fed and also the money environment. that is why crude prices continue to rise with the stock market despite the weak economic data we have at hand. look at your other energy products on the session. natural gas has been a big winner in the face of cold weather temperatures, natural gas prices down slightly on the session. foyour wholesale gasoline price. gasoline prices have been rising up above $0.10 over the past month and are starting to catch up with those higher oil prices, so if you're worried about those gasoline prices at the pump, we're starting to see them come up in line with those oil and stock market prices. back to you guys. lori: that is fantastic news. melissa: bad news at the pump especially if you live in california with crude oil prices spiking, california motorist paying an average of $3.77 per gallon. it is the average. with refineries switching to costlier summer blend, voters could soon see $4. national gas prices currently average $3.42, up from $3.29 a month ago. matt smith is a commodity analyst here with more on what
really see an environment here where it's really going to be a golden age for individual -- >> like which ones? >> stock selection and active managers. >> pin it down. give us some names. >> okay. well, we like the theme of oil by rail. trinity industries which makes cars that move rail. we like a derivative of the housing recovery briggs & stratton. we also like names where there is kind of secular growth opportunities and we see a shoe carnival as a small retailer regardless of what happens with the consumer we think they can really grow their store base and do it all organically. >> got it. >> shoes on a ship? >> shoe carnival. >> marc travis does the dow get back to the record high in the next week or next week or two and then what happens? >> you know, i would hesitate to annualize up 6% for january. you know, i'm like eric. i'm searching for equity securities where there is a discount between price and value. i would differ a little bit with eric in the small cap space. if you look at the russel 2000 it trades at 16 times operating income. the inverse of that is 6.25, which to me th
area, have appreciated the goals of our environment and climate change and doing everything that we can. i think the 80%, we're not going to be satisfied with that, spencer. we want 100% zero waste. this is where we're going. >> reporter: is that possible? >> i think it is. it is possible. >> reporter: san francisco residents sven eberlein and debra baida think it's possible, too. they are avid recyclers and composters, so much so that they produce almost no trash. baida lists what goes into the compost bin. >> we put wrappers from our butter, we put any meat or package, that kind of packaged paper food, soiled food wrappings, tissues, q-tips, paper napkins, which we don't have in our home. if those come in, those go there. soiled paper plates, milk cartons. >> i go to travel somewhere, and i'm, you know, i have, like, an apple and "where's the compost?" you know, and i have to throw it in the trash, and it kind of, you know, it just doesn't feel quite right, you know. >> reporter: but not all san franciscans are as enthusiastic as eberlein and baida. those who refuse to sort their garb
has been developing energy here for decades. we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them.'s my job to look after it. ♪ >>> coming up, the republican doom and gloom vision of the obama economy just doesn't seem to match reality these days. i'll have the details coming up. >>> and while whistle-blowers come forward to describe the fraud that led to the financial collapse, the department of justice isn't going after wall street's ceos. i'll ask mike papantonio why they're just being let off the hook. you can listen to my radio show on sirius xm radio noon to 3:00 a.m. -- p.m. share your thoughts with us on #edshow. we're coming right back. uhh, it's next month, actually... eddie continues singing: to tickets to... paradiiiiiise! no four. remember? whoooa whooaa whooo! you know ronny, folks who save hundreds of dollars by switching to geico sure are happy. and how happy are they jimmy? happier than eddie money running a tr
of wait and see. what's the environment going to look like before businesses really get aggressive in business development. i think that could weigh in going forward. the other would be interest rates. >> jeannie you've been keeping your investors through stock during that battle over the fiscal cliff. are you expecting another battle of the debt ceiling? >> we love the stock market last year. yes, i don't think the battle is going to be as brutal as the last-minute fiscal cliff negotiations. but i do agree that the year will probably start out a little slow because a lot of plans were put on hold in the fourth quarter. but look. so far 70% of the companies that have reported earnings over the last couple of weeks have been above expectations. so that's a good trend. we think gdp will build as we go through the year. and so we continue to like this market. you have to be a little cautious when the dow is with i think 2% of its all-time record high nap is amazing. that is really amazing. >> wow. looks like we got a blowout here on yahoo. let me get you the numbers here. 32 cents a s
normal level. >> bottom line, what do you want to do with your money in this environment? do you want to continue on this train of buying stocks or look at it and say, okay, maybe these fundamentals don't add up? >> stocks are still cheap relative to earnings where interest rates are, should be selling would have their proper valuation. i think stocks are 15% to 20% below where they should be? >> nathan, do you agree with that? >> i increased my stock position by 5%, maria. still watching my bonds. there's not much left in bonds. you can only squeeze so much out of this turnip, so you have to look at your bonds and shorten your duration, for sure. >> thanks, everybody. >> yeah. >> okay. >> good conversation. >> never mind. >> it's crazy to say that the -- that the fed is killing the economy with $85 billion in the printing press and stocks are 15% undervalued. i'd love to put those two thoughts together. >> all right. >> you said we're out of time but i'm always ready. >> give me one last point and we'll move on. >> we all have to understand we can look at the micro on everything that
of the year because we're going to be in the slow growth environment all year, and that's what is kind of freaking people out about yesterday's gdp number. >> if that's the environment we're in, how do you allocate capital? >> the big issue is we went through the fiscal cliff, big resolution, exceedingly narrow and a lot of complacency now as people are going in. we still have to get through march, and march is now a lot worse than december was. we've got to get through the new sequestration date on march 1st and got to get through a continuing budget resolution on march 27 and guess what? that's the only place the republicans have any power in this negotiation, and they will probably push a little bit of brinksmanship. >> speaking of sequestration march 1th, they are the ones getting killed, the downside leaders and still decent numbers out of northrup drummond. >> you still didn't tell us how to al gate capital. >> we are long equities, but we have put protection on our equity strategy. in essence, we're long calls. when you put all of that together so that you can participate in the
environment, egyptians are frustrated with the slow pace of reforms. increasing theyly complain morsi and the ruling muslim brotherhood party halftimeed thhijackedrevolution and are img islamic dictatorship. >> morsi called on the opposition to engage in national dialogue. the offer was quickly rejected leave nothing clear route to ending the turmoil. bret? >> bret: connor, thank you. police in brazil made three arrests and reportedly detained a fourth person in connection with sunday morning nightclub fire. police say a banned pyrotechnic show started the fire. it's believe two members of the band and two of the club's owners are in custody. the white house is condemning what it calls iran violation of the universal freedom of religion. american pastor saeed abadini was reportedly convicted of trying to undermined security creating a network of christian churches in private homes and has been sentenced to eight years in prison. >>> what was originally designed to be so extreme it could not become a reality is getting closer to becoming a reality. some republicans say the package of s
place on earth and put millions of people to work including in a more secure environment. we are barely scratching the surface of natural gas use. there isn't enough natural gas to sell cars in this country. what a sad set of circumstances. stick with cramer.
-rate environment and banks effectively being unwilling to lend at these low rates. i think that is a fantastic point for the near term. more long-term, our real worry is about the exit. >> susie: real quickly, i want to ask you about the jobs report that comes out on friday because more people get jobs, it is good for the economy. >> right. >> susie: might there be a surprise that more hiring is going on? >> we do not expect any surprises, at least not any upward surprises. it is interesting, almost over any time bucket over the last year, the average job gain has been about 150,000 mer month. 150,000 -- per month. where the aggregate demand hasn't picked up, companies are not picking up the hiring. we're looking for 150,000 a month, per average. >> susie: that's kind of look warm, but thank you, tom for coming on the show. we've been talking with tom porcelli, chief mist at rbc cap >> tom: despite a strong end to the year, ford stock fell more than 4.5% today. the concern is, ford doesn't think this year will be much better than last year. the auto maker earned 31 cents a share, up from a yea
of the environment for a housing ipo, this could be a very good day. already, they had to increase the size of the offering they prize above the range, $17, putting the valuation of the company more than $500 million t is going to trade at the post right behind us, we will get the inside scoop on where this thing looks like it will open. >> california this is a california home builder, san francisco area. also southern. look, when you go to the website, they are selling them like hot cakes. >> single-family homes. >> what does that say? california home builder going public? >> my, how far we've come. >> pulte's down, jim. >> pulte is down, jim. >> thank you. thank you for that wet blanket. that wet electric blanket. >> a wet signed blanket. >> anything else you need me to tell you? >> whatever you want. >> speaking of housing, we are going to talk to fettig from whirlpool in the 11 this morning. pricing is getting better but volume is not matching at all what new homes are doing. >> surprising, low single digits, the companies make a lot of money. they have got trade rulings that are their
environment for stocks. stocks fell 10% to 15%. >> but still we've had people say that we can still do 4%. that that's just normal. that's just normalized -- >> over time. >> long-term yield. there would be some trepidation initially but that's not going to be something that would -- >> -- health environment -- >> >> we're going to get a lousy gdp number. >> but that should be backward looking. hopefully the market knows this is in the past, this isn't now. i think all the sentiments this week we have them from every country i think except japan business sentiment surveys coming out. that's a much more forward looking indicator. we're going to be watching that and housing. those are going to drive things as well as talking about earnings. we have 20% of the week. that's going to be a lot -- >> -- of the earnings season. now is when stocks usually begin to slide after a 4% rally in the two weeks before and al alcoa we could be hitting a rough patch as well. >> you've got a big lump money and you're like -- >> you're -- >> yeah, exactly. >> crazy like a fox. yeah. >> the minute we get 5% y
that in the future it could cause environment issues. >> they had 400 trucks a day coming in here. they still have about 40 trucks a day bringing in more debris. connell: when they get some of this debris being used? spec they get a lot of wood. there is enough would to fill a football field piled as high or higher than the goalpost. some of that, and a lot of that debris is being incinerated. a lot of it is being broken down into mulch. some of it is being made available to ordinary citizens. in some cases, one man brought his own sawmill out there. >> and manufacturing a product that could be used again and people can say this came from sandy, the storm, that damaged and affected so many people. there is a positive that can come out of it. >> a lot has been accomplished. so much is still left to be done, though. connell: thank you very much. we will shift gears and talk about oil prices here in a few minutes. we will get to this whole keystone pipeline issue. first, we told you about google's eric schmidt and his journey over to north korea. now, you can see, i guess, the results of that trip. y
and what is the most of corn tissue of our time, the environment we live in. obviously we have to protect it. i think that is a possibility and probably something that may be effective. stuart: wouldn't do any good? >> if we could get bipartisan support, it could -- stuart: when it would lower carbon emissions in a miniscule, may be lower the temperature is your.1% over a longer period of time. it is just a fund of money. that is why -- that is what it is all about. >> those dollars would be used for other efforts to control and focus on changing climate. stuart: they would just fill government coffers with that the needed money. >> if that is the case they wouldn't be a good thing. stuart: when you are if in favor of carbon tax to raise money. >> i am not. i am in favor of it as a way of controlling, beginning to control global warming and giving resources to combat it. stuart: i want to bring you the answer to the quiz we brought you before the break. we asked who said this? i am quoting directly. i am so tired of hearing that the rich are not paying their fair share of taxes. yes we ar
and our universities for the blind that we need here in america. not only the environment in which they can come here and study, but say here if they are needed. connell: making sure that it is not included in this deal, whatever that turns out to be? >> amnesty. there has to be a pathway to citizenship. people who follow the law should not be burdened by those that do not. connell: defined what that means . >> the 11 login or so have to be encouraged to come out of the shadows and join those already in line. there has to be an incentive for them to do that. it has to be negotiated. that is what we are afraid of. we do not believe that 11 million should be granted citizenship to prevent those that have followed the rules from the pathway to citizenship that they followed. connell: last thing on the prediction of the politics on this before we let you go. you think this will be a hard-fought, year-long battle or do you think we will get something done really quick? >> it depends on whether or not they want to treat this like obamacare. no transparency. i think it will be very hard t
record. connell: what are you expecting this year. it could be a completely different environment. many of those doomsday people are still expecting a mess, politically. after a while, you start to say, when will be the time that we do not get a last-minute deal? there is some percentage that fear that. is it reasonable? >> i think that is true. there certainly are some possibilities. the real fear has been kind of dissipating from the market. for example, we have lowered the downside scenario from 30% to 15%. as we look forward to the u.s. economy, there really are a lot of positives. housing is coming back very nicely. job growth has picked up a little bit. consumer confidence with the house prices and stock prices rising. that is coming back. that will be a big support to consumer spending. gas prices are not outrageous. i could give you a list of maybe 30 companies, a new factoring companies, that are looking to move their manufacturing back to the u.s. connell: we have seen a lot of that. you are right. bob, thank you. the third guest to be positive this hour on the housing market.
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